Al Bataeh 3-2 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.46
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
43%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
3.14
Over 2.5
62%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.35
No
40%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
7.8
2-3 Goals
31%
2.28
4-5 Goals
32%
2.4
6+ Goals
15%
4.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
25%
+8.5pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.1pp
43%
Away Win
53%
-9.6pp
38%
Under 2.5
28%
+9.8pp
62%
Over 2.5
72%
-9.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
70%
-10.5pp
40%
BTTS No
30%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Bataeh EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Jazira Abu Dhabi EU Bookmakers 57%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +4%
1.61/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.46/1.14
+27% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +37%
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
295 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 82%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.7
10.9 Crosses 16.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Bataeh
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
1.00 xG 2.21
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 5
266 Passes 548
78% Pass Accuracy 87%
14 Box Touches 28
10 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2023 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 3-1 HT 1-1 Al Bataeh Al Bataeh BAE
24.04.2023 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 3-1 HT 1-0 Al Bataeh Al Bataeh BAE
19.12.2022 Al Bataeh Al Bataeh 2-4 HT 1-3 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Bataeh
3-2
AWAY Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
1.35 xG 1.43
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
341 Passes 425
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Bataeh vs Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Bataeh edged past Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Al Jazira Abu Dhabi at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Al Bataeh had 45% of the ball to Al Jazira Abu Dhabi's 55%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 1.35 to 1.43.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Jazira Abu Dhabi led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Bataeh and 3.33 for Al Jazira Abu Dhabi.

What was the final score of Al Bataeh vs Al Jazira Abu Dhabi?

Al Bataeh 3-2 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi in the UAE - League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Bataeh vs Al Jazira Abu Dhabi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Jazira Abu Dhabi win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Al Bataeh 34%, draw 23%, Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 43%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Jazira Abu Dhabi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Jazira Abu Dhabi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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