Zvijezda 09 Brgule 2-3 Siroki Brijeg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.19
Draw
25%
2.88
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.45
Over 2.5
40%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
42%
+5.1pp
25%
Draw
31%
-5.8pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
65%
-5.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
35%
+5.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.7pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zvijezda 09 Brgule EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Siroki Brijeg EU Bookmakers 31%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
1.61/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.27
+28% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
377 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zvijezda 09 Brgule
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Siroki Brijeg
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.12.2023 Zvijezda 09 Brgule Zvijezda 09 Brgule 3-0 HT 2-0 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSN
17.09.2023 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 2-1 HT 2-0 Zvijezda 09 Brgule Zvijezda 09 Brgule BOSN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zvijezda 09 Brgule
2-3
AWAY Siroki Brijeg
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Zvijezda 09 Brgule vs Siroki Brijeg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Siroki Brijeg edged past Zvijezda 09 Brgule 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Zvijezda 09 Brgule at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zvijezda 09 Brgule had 60% of the ball to Siroki Brijeg's 40%, shots finished 11-12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Zvijezda 09 Brgule and 1.00 for Siroki Brijeg.

What was the final score of Zvijezda 09 Brgule vs Siroki Brijeg?

Zvijezda 09 Brgule 2-3 Siroki Brijeg in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zvijezda 09 Brgule vs Siroki Brijeg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zvijezda 09 Brgule win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Zvijezda 09 Brgule 47%, draw 25%, Siroki Brijeg 28%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Zvijezda 09 Brgule) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
30 Mar 2024
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