USM El Harrach 2-1 AS Khroub — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 2nd Division, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.09
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.45
Over 2.5
30%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
28%
2.27
No
72%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
48%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
44%
+3.4pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.7pp
24%
Away Win
25%
-1.7pp
70%
Under 2.5
65%
+5.0pp
30%
Over 2.5
35%
-5.0pp
28%
BTTS Yes
40%
-11.6pp
72%
BTTS No
60%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM El Harrach EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY AS Khroub EU Bookmakers 29%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
0.36/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/1.00
-73% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +19%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
338 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH USM El Harrach vs AS Khroub
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM El Harrach edged past AS Khroub 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had USM El Harrach as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (72%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of USM El Harrach vs AS Khroub?

USM El Harrach 2-1 AS Khroub in the Algeria - 2nd Division on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM El Harrach vs AS Khroub?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM El Harrach win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split USM El Harrach 47%, draw 29%, AS Khroub 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM El Harrach) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (USM El Harrach) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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