Bali United 1-0 Persija Jakarta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
23%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.18
Over 2.5
48%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.55
No
52%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
5%
1/X
13%
X/1
7%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
46%
+3.6pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.7pp
23%
Away Win
30%
-6.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+9.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-9.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.4pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bali United EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Persija Jakarta EU Bookmakers 33%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -7%
1.18/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.36
-20% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bali United
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Persija Jakarta
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
238 Passes 378
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
15.01.2023 Persija Jakarta Persija Jakarta 3-2 HT 1-2 Bali United Bali United ENDL1
23.07.2022 Bali United Bali United 1-0 HT 1-0 Persija Jakarta Persija Jakarta ENDL1
06.03.2022 Bali United Bali United 2-1 HT 1-0 Persija Jakarta Persija Jakarta ENDL1
25.11.2021 Persija Jakarta Persija Jakarta 0-1 HT 0-1 Bali United Bali United ENDL1
19.09.2019 Persija Jakarta Persija Jakarta 0-1 HT 0-0 Bali United Bali United ENDL1
POST-MATCH Bali United vs Persija Jakarta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bali United squeezed past Persija Jakarta 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bali United as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Bali United had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Bali United and 0.80 for Persija Jakarta.

What was the final score of Bali United vs Persija Jakarta?

Bali United 1-0 Persija Jakarta in the Indonesia League 1 on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bali United vs Persija Jakarta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bali United win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Bali United 49%, draw 28%, Persija Jakarta 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bali United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bali United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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