Ethiopian Insurance 2-2 Awassa Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
42%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-4.3pp
23%
Draw
29%
-5.8pp
42%
Away Win
32%
+10.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.1pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ethiopian Insurance EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Awassa Kenema EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +56% / +56%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +102% / +38%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ethiopian Insurance
2-2
AWAY Awassa Kenema
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ethiopian Insurance vs Awassa Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopian Insurance and Awassa Kenema shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Awassa Kenema at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ethiopian Insurance had 61% of the ball to Awassa Kenema's 39%, shots finished 10-6.

What was the final score of Ethiopian Insurance vs Awassa Kenema?

Ethiopian Insurance 2-2 Awassa Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ethiopian Insurance vs Awassa Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated an Awassa Kenema win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ethiopian Insurance 35%, draw 23%, Awassa Kenema 42%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Awassa Kenema) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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