Inter Turku 2-2 KuPS Kuopio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - League Cup, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.8
Over 2.5
41%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.73
No
58%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
3.16
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.72
6+ Goals
8%
15.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 35% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.56
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
6%
13.0
X/1
11%
5.3
X/2
9%
5.75
X/X
17%
4.42
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
21%
4.0
2/X
6%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
38%
-2.9pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
54%
-11.6pp
58%
BTTS No
46%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Turku EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 37%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.59/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.79
+15% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / -39%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
319 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Turku
1W-1D-4L
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.30 xG 1.42
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
230 Passes 436
73% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2023 Inter Turku Inter Turku 0-1 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
17.07.2023 Inter Turku Inter Turku 1-1 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
05.04.2023 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 1-2 HT 1-1 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
09.10.2022 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 2-0 HT 1-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
17.09.2022 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 1-0 HT 0-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİK
27.08.2022 Inter Turku Inter Turku 1-2 HT 1-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Turku
2-2
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Inter Turku vs KuPS Kuopio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Turku and KuPS Kuopio shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Inter Turku had 47% of the ball to KuPS Kuopio's 53%, shots finished 16-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KuPS Kuopio led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Inter Turku and 1.33 for KuPS Kuopio.

What was the final score of Inter Turku vs KuPS Kuopio?

Inter Turku 2-2 KuPS Kuopio in the Finland - League Cup on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Turku vs KuPS Kuopio?

Before kick-off our model rated an KuPS Kuopio win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Inter Turku 35%, draw 28%, KuPS Kuopio 36%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →