Guingamp (K) 3-4 Saint-Étienne (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.57
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
22%
X/2
15%
X/X
26%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
35%
-4.4pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.8pp
37%
Away Win
37%
+0.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guingamp (K) EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Saint-Étienne (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
249 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guingamp (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Saint-Étienne (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
09.12.2023 Saint-Étienne (K) Saint-Étienne (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 Guingamp (K) Guingamp (K) FRK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guingamp (K)
3-4
AWAY Saint-Étienne (K)
2.22 xG 2.60
42% Ball Possession 58%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
204 Passes 323
68% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Guingamp (K) vs Saint-Étienne (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saint-Étienne (K) nicked a narrow win over Guingamp (K) 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 32% / 37% — and on the day Saint-Étienne (K) made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Guingamp (K) had 42% of the ball to Saint-Étienne (K)'s 58%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 2.22 to 2.60.

What was the final score of Guingamp (K) vs Saint-Étienne (K)?

Guingamp (K) 3-4 Saint-Étienne (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guingamp (K) vs Saint-Étienne (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Saint-Étienne (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Guingamp (K) 31%, draw 32%, Saint-Étienne (K) 37%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saint-Étienne (K)) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Saint-Étienne (K)) ✗ Under 2.5
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