Cardiff MU 2-6 The New Saints — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Welsh Cup, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
12.23
Draw
18%
7.13
Away
64%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
3.17
Over 2.5
54%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
4%
X/2
29%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
5%
+12.8pp
18%
Draw
10%
+7.9pp
64%
Away Win
85%
-20.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
28%
+17.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
72%
-17.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cardiff MU EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY The New Saints EU Bookmakers 91%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +75%
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
221 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 486 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cardiff MU
1W-0D-5L
AWAY The New Saints
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 5.50
33% Ball Possession 67%
5 Total Shots 23
1 Shots on Target 11
1 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.01.2024 The New Saints The New Saints 8-0 HT 4-0 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
22.09.2023 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 1-5 HT 1-3 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
25.03.2023 The New Saints The New Saints 7-1 HT 4-1 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
11.02.2023 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 3-2 HT 1-2 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
05.11.2022 The New Saints The New Saints 4-0 HT 2-0 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
17.09.2022 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 0-7 HT 0-3 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
POST-MATCH Cardiff MU vs The New Saints
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

The New Saints ran out comfortable winners over Cardiff MU 6-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had The New Saints as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 6-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, The New Saints led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cardiff MU and 5.50 for The New Saints.

What was the final score of Cardiff MU vs The New Saints?

Cardiff MU 2-6 The New Saints in the Wales - Welsh Cup on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cardiff MU vs The New Saints?

Before kick-off our model rated an The New Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Cardiff MU 18%, draw 18%, The New Saints 64%. The final score 2-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The New Saints), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (The New Saints) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →