Dinamo Tbilisi 1-1 Samtredia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
25%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.61
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
66%
-13.6pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.8pp
25%
Away Win
15%
+9.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.9pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.8pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Samtredia EU Bookmakers 18%
+7% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
2.22/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.49
+8% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +31%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
383 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Samtredia
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.10.2023 Samtredia Samtredia 3-2 HT 1-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
05.06.2023 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 3-0 HT 0-0 Samtredia Samtredia GUR
30.04.2023 Samtredia Samtredia 0-2 HT 0-1 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
04.03.2023 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 4-0 HT 2-0 Samtredia Samtredia GUR
07.08.2022 Samtredia Samtredia 1-2 HT 0-1 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GURCK
24.09.2021 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 5-1 HT 1-1 Samtredia Samtredia GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi
1-1
AWAY Samtredia
70% Ball Possession 30%
21 Total Shots 4
10 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dinamo Tbilisi vs Samtredia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Tbilisi and Samtredia shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Dinamo Tbilisi at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Dinamo Tbilisi had 70% of the ball to Samtredia's 30%, shots finished 21-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Tbilisi had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Dinamo Tbilisi and 0.83 for Samtredia.

What was the final score of Dinamo Tbilisi vs Samtredia?

Dinamo Tbilisi 1-1 Samtredia in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Tbilisi vs Samtredia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Tbilisi win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Tbilisi 53%, draw 22%, Samtredia 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dinamo Tbilisi), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Tbilisi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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