Jamshedpur 1-1 Kerala Blasters — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 30 Mar 2024

Jamshedpur
1-1 HT 1-1
Kerala Blasters
📅30/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
India - Super League – 2023/2024

Jamshedpur vs Kerala Blasters Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.11
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.76
6+ Goals
8%
16.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 31% vs market 26.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.5pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jamshedpur v Kerala Blasters — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jamshedpur EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Kerala Blasters EU Bookmakers 33%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -8%
1.40/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.35
-17% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
251 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 71%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
25.8 Crosses 15.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8

Jamshedpur vs Kerala Blasters Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jamshedpur
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Kerala Blasters
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.68 xG 1.21
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
232 Passes 307
69% Pass Accuracy 70%
13 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
15.01.2024 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 2-3 HT 1-1 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HINSK
01.10.2023 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 1-0 HT 0-0 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HİNSL
03.01.2023 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 3-1 HT 2-1 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HİNSL
04.12.2022 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur 0-1 HT 0-1 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL
15.03.2022 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 1-1 HT 1-0 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HİNSL
11.03.2022 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur 0-1 HT 0-1 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL

Jamshedpur 1-1 Kerala Blasters — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jamshedpur
1-1
AWAY Kerala Blasters
1.22 xG 1.10
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
399 Passes 245
81% Pass Accuracy 71%
19 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Jamshedpur vs Kerala Blasters
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jamshedpur and Kerala Blasters couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Jamshedpur at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Jamshedpur had 59% of the ball to Kerala Blasters's 41%, shots finished 15-20, expected goals 1.22 to 1.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kerala Blasters led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Jamshedpur and 1.50 for Kerala Blasters.

What was the final score of Jamshedpur vs Kerala Blasters?

Jamshedpur 1-1 Kerala Blasters in the India - Super League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jamshedpur vs Kerala Blasters?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jamshedpur win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Jamshedpur 41%, draw 28%, Kerala Blasters 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Jamshedpur), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jamshedpur) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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