Fortuna Sittard (K) 2-2 Utrecht (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.53
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.56
No
50%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
61%
-13.0pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.7pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.5pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Sittard (K) EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Utrecht (K) EU Bookmakers 21%
-77% / -77% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
533 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Sittard (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Utrecht (K)
6.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 15
9 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 3
10.12.2023 Utrecht (K) Utrecht (K) 0-6 HT 0-4 Fortuna Sittard (K) Fortuna Sittard (K) HOLK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortuna Sittard (K)
2-2
AWAY Utrecht (K)
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Fortuna Sittard (K) vs Utrecht (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Sittard (K) and Utrecht (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Fortuna Sittard (K) at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Fortuna Sittard (K) had 52% of the ball to Utrecht (K)'s 48%, shots finished 12-14.

What was the final score of Fortuna Sittard (K) vs Utrecht (K)?

Fortuna Sittard (K) 2-2 Utrecht (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Sittard (K) vs Utrecht (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortuna Sittard (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Sittard (K) 48%, draw 24%, Utrecht (K) 27%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Fortuna Sittard (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fortuna Sittard (K)) ✓ Over 2.5
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