Nojima Stella (K) 0-1 Albirex Niigata (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.87
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
48%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
19%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
26%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
22%
+5.2pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.5pp
49%
Away Win
52%
-3.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.7pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nojima Stella (K) EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Albirex Niigata (K) EU Bookmakers 56%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ -100% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
264 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Nojima Stella (K) vs Albirex Niigata (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albirex Niigata (K) nicked a narrow win over Nojima Stella (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Albirex Niigata (K) as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Nojima Stella (K) vs Albirex Niigata (K)?

Nojima Stella (K) 0-1 Albirex Niigata (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nojima Stella (K) vs Albirex Niigata (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Albirex Niigata (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Nojima Stella (K) 28%, draw 24%, Albirex Niigata (K) 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Albirex Niigata (K)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Albirex Niigata (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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