Cliftonville 2-0 Larne FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Cup, 30 Mar 2024

Cliftonville
2-0 HT 1-0
Larne FC
📅30/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
North Ireland - Cup – 2023/2024

Cliftonville vs Larne FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.12
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.75
6+ Goals
11%
15.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 27% vs market 26.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.83
1/2
7%
26.5
1/X
7%
13.7
X/1
13%
6.56
X/2
17%
4.69
X/X
17%
4.49
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
14%
3.01
2/X
7%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+1.1pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.5pp
38%
Away Win
43%
-5.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.4pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cliftonville v Larne FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cliftonville EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Larne FC EU Bookmakers 48%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/3.00
-20% / +104% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +91% / -53%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
268 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 3.0

Cliftonville vs Larne FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cliftonville
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Larne FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.11.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 2-1 HT 2-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
26.08.2023 Cliftonville Cliftonville 1-1 HT 1-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
11.04.2023 Cliftonville Cliftonville 0-2 HT 0-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
18.02.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
02.01.2023 Cliftonville Cliftonville 2-1 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
14.10.2022 Larne FC Larne FC 4-0 HT 1-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL

Cliftonville 2-0 Larne FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cliftonville
2-0
AWAY Larne FC
46% Ball Possession 54%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cliftonville vs Larne FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cliftonville saw off Larne FC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 31% / 38% — and on the day Cliftonville made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Cliftonville had 46% of the ball to Larne FC's 54%, shots finished 18-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Larne FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cliftonville and 2.00 for Larne FC.

What was the final score of Cliftonville vs Larne FC?

Cliftonville 2-0 Larne FC in the North Ireland - Cup on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cliftonville vs Larne FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Larne FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cliftonville 31%, draw 31%, Larne FC 38%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Larne FC), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Larne FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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