Al Arabi 0-1 Al Gharafa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.63
Over 2.5
63%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.39
No
43%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.11
2-3 Goals
38%
2.08
4-5 Goals
29%
2.56
6+ Goals
14%
5.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.5pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.0pp
39%
Away Win
39%
-0.5pp
37%
Under 2.5
34%
+2.9pp
63%
Over 2.5
66%
-2.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-10.5pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Arabi EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Gharafa EU Bookmakers 43%
-13% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.58/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/0.76
-10% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -29%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
295 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 81%
36.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.6
26.6 Crosses 29.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Arabi
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Gharafa
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.99 xG 1.29
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
364 Passes 323
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
31 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.11.2023 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 5-4 HT 3-3 Al Arabi Al Arabi KAT
04.05.2023 Al Arabi Al Arabi 3-0 HT 0-0 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
13.03.2023 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Arabi Al Arabi KAT
08.10.2022 Al Arabi Al Arabi 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KATYK
02.03.2022 Al Arabi Al Arabi 3-2 HT 1-1 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
25.12.2021 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Arabi Al Arabi KAT
POST-MATCH Al Arabi vs Al Gharafa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Gharafa edged past Al Arabi 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 23% / 39%) promised a tight game; Al Gharafa found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Arabi had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Arabi and 1.17 for Al Gharafa.

What was the final score of Al Arabi vs Al Gharafa?

Al Arabi 0-1 Al Gharafa in the Qatar League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Arabi vs Al Gharafa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Gharafa win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Arabi 38%, draw 23%, Al Gharafa 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Gharafa) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Gharafa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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