Al Salmiyah 1-1 Al Arabi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait - Premier League, 30 Mar 2024

Al Salmiyah
1-1 HT 1-1
Al Arabi
📅30/03/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Kuwait - Premier League – 2025/2026

Al Salmiyah vs Al Arabi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.71
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
53%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.23
Over 2.5
48%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.57
2-3 Goals
44%
1.9
4-5 Goals
21%
2.88
6+ Goals
11%
8.23
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.57 — our 24% vs market 17.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
18%
+1.6pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.4pp
53%
Away Win
60%
-7.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.2pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Salmiyah v Al Arabi — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Salmiyah EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Arabi EU Bookmakers 64%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
1.14/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.19/1.12
-9% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
305 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.5

Al Salmiyah vs Al Arabi Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Salmiyah
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Al Arabi
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
46% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 11
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.12.2023 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Arabi Al Arabi KUV
25.08.2023 Al Arabi Al Arabi 3-2 HT 2-1 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah KUV
28.05.2023 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah 3-6 HT 1-5 Al Arabi Al Arabi KUV
24.04.2023 Al Arabi Al Arabi 3-0 HT 0-0 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah KUV
06.02.2023 Al Arabi Al Arabi 2-2 HT 0-1 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah KUVPK
20.12.2022 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Arabi Al Arabi KUV
POST-MATCH Al Salmiyah vs Al Arabi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Salmiyah and Al Arabi couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Al Arabi at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Arabi led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Salmiyah and 2.83 for Al Arabi.

What was the final score of Al Salmiyah vs Al Arabi?

Al Salmiyah 1-1 Al Arabi in the Kuwait - Premier League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Salmiyah vs Al Arabi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Al Salmiyah 20%, draw 27%, Al Arabi 53%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Arabi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Arabi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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