Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 4-1 Khimki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
41%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.68
Over 2.5
50%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-3.6pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.9pp
41%
Away Win
36%
+5.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.3pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yenisey Krasnoyarsk EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Khimki EU Bookmakers 39%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.46/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.37
+36% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
341 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Khimki
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.10.2023 Khimki Khimki 1-0 HT 1-0 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
09.11.2019 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 1-0 HT 0-0 Khimki Khimki RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
4-1
AWAY Khimki
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Yenisey Krasnoyarsk vs Khimki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk ran out comfortable winners over Khimki 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Khimki at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Yenisey Krasnoyarsk had 53% of the ball to Khimki's 47%, shots finished 8-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk and 0.50 for Khimki.

What was the final score of Yenisey Krasnoyarsk vs Khimki?

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 4-1 Khimki in the Russia - FNL on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk vs Khimki?

Before kick-off our model rated an Khimki win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 33%, draw 26%, Khimki 41%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Khimki) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Khimki) ✓ BTTS Yes
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