Dukla Banska Bystrica 4-2 Trencin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 30 Mar 2024

Dukla Banska Bystrica
4-2 HT 2-1
Trencin
📅30/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Slovakia Super League – 2023/2024

Dukla Banska Bystrica vs Trencin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.91
Over 2.5
43%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.66
No
54%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.52
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
3.4
6+ Goals
10%
12.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 30% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.9pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dukla Banska Bystrica v Trencin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dukla Banska Bystrica EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Trencin EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -15%
1.47/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.15
+23% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -15%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
280 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 75%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
22.3 Crosses 21.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.6

Dukla Banska Bystrica vs Trencin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dukla Banska Bystrica
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Trencin
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.90 xG 1.10
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
180 Passes 426
64% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.02.2024 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica 1-1 HT 0-0 Trencin Trencin SLVK
30.09.2023 Trencin Trencin 1-0 HT 0-0 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica SLVK
10.02.2023 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica 3-0 HT 2-0 Trencin Trencin SLVK
30.08.2022 Trencin Trencin 0-2 HT 0-1 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica SLVK
19.05.2015 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica 0-1 HT 0-1 Trencin Trencin SLVK
21.04.2015 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica 0-1 HT 0-1 Trencin Trencin SLOVK

Dukla Banska Bystrica 4-2 Trencin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dukla Banska Bystrica
4-2
AWAY Trencin
2.28 xG 1.09
40% Ball Possession 60%
15 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
211 Passes 368
71% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dukla Banska Bystrica vs Trencin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dukla Banska Bystrica saw off Trencin 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 40%) promised a tight game; Dukla Banska Bystrica found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dukla Banska Bystrica had 40% of the ball to Trencin's 60%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 2.28 to 1.09.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trencin led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dukla Banska Bystrica and 0.67 for Trencin.

What was the final score of Dukla Banska Bystrica vs Trencin?

Dukla Banska Bystrica 4-2 Trencin in the Slovakia Super League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dukla Banska Bystrica vs Trencin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Trencin win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Dukla Banska Bystrica 33%, draw 28%, Trencin 40%. The final score 4-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Trencin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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