SC Villa vs Mbarara City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
SC Villa v Mbarara City — Team-Based Signals
SC Villa vs Mbarara City Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
SC Villa
UGA
SC Villa 2-1 Mbarara City — Actual Match Statistics
SC Villa squeezed past Mbarara City 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had SC Villa as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, SC Villa had 66% of the ball to Mbarara City's 34%, shots finished 23-6.
What was the final score of SC Villa vs Mbarara City?
SC Villa 2-1 Mbarara City in the Uganda - Premier League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for SC Villa vs Mbarara City?
Before kick-off our model rated a SC Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split SC Villa 51%, draw 27%, Mbarara City 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SC Villa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.