Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-1 CA River Plate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-7.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.4pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.0pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo) EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY CA River Plate EU Bookmakers 28%
+11% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -7%
1.79/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.01
+25% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +24%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
305 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.0 Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
3W-0D-3L
AWAY CA River Plate
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
308 Passes 203
78% Pass Accuracy 68%
3 Yellow Cards 4
06.12.2023 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-1 HT 1-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
13.05.2023 CA River Plate CA River Plate 2-0 HT 0-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
13.10.2022 CA River Plate CA River Plate 0-1 HT 0-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
22.05.2022 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-1 HT 1-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
17.03.2022 CA River Plate CA River Plate 2-0 HT 0-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) CON CSA
10.03.2022 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 0-1 HT 0-1 CA River Plate CA River Plate CON CSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
1-1
AWAY CA River Plate
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs CA River Plate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) and CA River Plate shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Liverpool FC (Montevideo) at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) had 62% of the ball to CA River Plate's 38%, shots finished 19-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) and 1.17 for CA River Plate.

What was the final score of Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs CA River Plate?

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-1 CA River Plate in the Uruguay - Premier League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs CA River Plate?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool FC (Montevideo) win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 41%, draw 29%, CA River Plate 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
URU More Uruguay - Premier League
30 Mar 2024
19:30 Rampla Juniors vs Centro Atletico Fenix Analysis →