Ross County 0-1 Dundee United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
40%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.9
2-3 Goals
44%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
4.23
6+ Goals
9%
20.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.34
1/2
6%
30.5
1/X
7%
13.2
X/1
12%
6.08
X/2
15%
5.47
X/X
12%
4.14
2/1
7%
33.5
2/2
19%
3.68
2/X
8%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.6pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.7pp
40%
Away Win
37%
+3.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ross County EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundee United EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.28/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.41
+7% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
229 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 70%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.4
20.4 Crosses 23.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ross County
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Dundee United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.67 xG 1.42
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
208 Passes 261
65% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 Dundee United Dundee United 3-0 HT 0-0 Ross County Ross County İKP
10.08.2024 Ross County Ross County 1-1 HT 0-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
13.05.2023 Dundee United Dundee United 1-3 HT 1-1 Ross County Ross County İKP
25.02.2023 Ross County Ross County 4-0 HT 2-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
28.12.2022 Dundee United Dundee United 3-0 HT 1-0 Ross County Ross County İKP
15.10.2022 Ross County Ross County 1-1 HT 1-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ross County
0-1
AWAY Dundee United
0.36 xG 1.87
47% Ball Possession 53%
5 Total Shots 20
1 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 9
180 Passes 214
60% Pass Accuracy 63%
16 Box Touches 35
20 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ross County vs Dundee United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundee United nicked a narrow win over Ross County 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 40% — and on the day Dundee United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Ross County had 47% of the ball to Dundee United's 53%, shots finished 5-20, expected goals 0.36 to 1.87 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Dundee United's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ross County and 1.50 for Dundee United.

What was the final score of Ross County vs Dundee United?

Ross County 0-1 Dundee United in the Scotland - Premiership on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ross County vs Dundee United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dundee United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ross County 32%, draw 28%, Dundee United 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dundee United), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dundee United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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