Falu BS 1-1 Nacka Iliria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 30 Mar 2025

Falu BS
1-1 HT 0-0
Nacka Iliria
📅30/03/2025 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland – 2025

Falu BS vs Nacka Iliria Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
42%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
37%
-6.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
42%
Away Win
36%
+6.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.0pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Falu BS v Nacka Iliria — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Falu BS EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacka Iliria EU Bookmakers 39%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
0.83/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/2.83
-51% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -39%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
291 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.9
POST-MATCH Falu BS vs Nacka Iliria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Falu BS and Nacka Iliria couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Nacka Iliria at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Falu BS vs Nacka Iliria?

Falu BS 1-1 Nacka Iliria in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Falu BS vs Nacka Iliria?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nacka Iliria win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Falu BS 31%, draw 27%, Nacka Iliria 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nacka Iliria) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nacka Iliria) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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