Huachipato 3-1 La Serena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
47%
+2.1pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.3pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.4pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Huachipato EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY La Serena EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -11%
1.26/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.31
-15% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
288 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 72%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
25.8 Crosses 14.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Huachipato
1W-3D-2L
AWAY La Serena
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.43 xG 1.04
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
276 Passes 228
73% Pass Accuracy 69%
28 Box Touches 19
26 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
14.08.2022 La Serena La Serena 0-1 HT 0-1 Huachipato Huachipato ŞİL
20.03.2022 Huachipato Huachipato 2-3 HT 0-3 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
29.10.2021 La Serena La Serena 2-2 HT 2-0 Huachipato Huachipato ŞİL
25.07.2021 Huachipato Huachipato 0-0 HT 0-0 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
15.11.2020 La Serena La Serena 1-0 HT 0-0 Huachipato Huachipato ŞİL
26.09.2020 Huachipato Huachipato 1-1 HT 1-1 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Huachipato
3-1
AWAY La Serena
1.95 xG 0.38
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
369 Passes 333
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
24 Box Touches 6
22 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Huachipato vs La Serena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Huachipato beat La Serena 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Huachipato as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Huachipato had 53% of the ball to La Serena's 47%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.95 to 0.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, La Serena led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Huachipato and 1.17 for La Serena.

What was the final score of Huachipato vs La Serena?

Huachipato 3-1 La Serena in the Chile - Premier League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Huachipato vs La Serena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Huachipato win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Huachipato 49%, draw 25%, La Serena 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Huachipato) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Huachipato) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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