Lyon (K) 4-0 Fleury 91 (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
80%
1.11
Draw
12%
8.78
Away
8%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
26%
Over 2.5
74%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
24%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
57%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
3%
X/X
3%
2/1
8%
2/2
2%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
80%
Home Win
85%
-5.4pp
13%
Draw
8%
+4.1pp
8%
Away Win
6%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lyon (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Fleury 91 (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.89/0.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.12/1.47
+17% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +24%
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
394 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 77%
49.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 5.0
28.0 Crosses 15.0
0.9 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lyon (K)
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Fleury 91 (K)
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.38 xG 0.49
70% Ball Possession 31%
24 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
500 Passes 160
88% Pass Accuracy 66%
40 Box Touches 6
26 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2024 Fleury 91 (K) Fleury 91 (K) 2-6 HT 1-3 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) FRK1
15.03.2024 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) 4-0 HT 2-0 Fleury 91 (K) Fleury 91 (K) FRK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lyon (K)
4-0
AWAY Fleury 91 (K)
2.16 xG 0.12
66% Ball Possession 34%
16 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 2
480 Passes 187
84% Pass Accuracy 66%
40 Box Touches 13
26 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lyon (K) vs Fleury 91 (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lyon (K) cruised past Fleury 91 (K) 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lyon (K) as the likeliest winner at 80%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (74%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Lyon (K) had 66% of the ball to Fleury 91 (K)'s 34%, shots finished 16-3, expected goals 2.16 to 0.12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lyon (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 5.00 goals for Lyon (K) and 1.00 for Fleury 91 (K).

What was the final score of Lyon (K) vs Fleury 91 (K)?

Lyon (K) 4-0 Fleury 91 (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lyon (K) vs Fleury 91 (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lyon (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 80%, with the full match-result split Lyon (K) 80%, draw 13%, Fleury 91 (K) 8%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lyon (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lyon (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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