Central & Western 2-1 Sham Shui Po — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.3
Draw
20%
5.28
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.68
No
41%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
72%
-8.7pp
19%
Draw
16%
+3.9pp
17%
Away Win
12%
+4.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+3.9pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central & Western EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Sham Shui Po EU Bookmakers 16%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
3.62/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.45/3.44
+28% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -60% / -13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
423 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Central & Western
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Sham Shui Po
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.10.2024 Sham Shui Po Sham Shui Po 1-2 Central & Western Central & Western HK2
26.12.2021 Sham Shui Po Sham Shui Po 2-0 HT 2-0 Central & Western Central & Western HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Central & Western
2-1
AWAY Sham Shui Po
66% Ball Possession 34%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Central & Western vs Sham Shui Po
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central & Western edged past Sham Shui Po 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Central & Western as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Central & Western had 66% of the ball to Sham Shui Po's 34%, shots finished 17-12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Central & Western and 1.50 for Sham Shui Po.

What was the final score of Central & Western vs Sham Shui Po?

Central & Western 2-1 Sham Shui Po in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central & Western vs Sham Shui Po?

Before kick-off our model rated a Central & Western win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Central & Western 63%, draw 19%, Sham Shui Po 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Central & Western), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Central & Western) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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