Albirex Niigata (K) 1-0 Nojima Stella (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 30 Mar 2025

Albirex Niigata (K)
1-0 HT 1-0
Nojima Stella (K)
📅30/03/2025 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Japan - WE League Women's – 2024/2025

Albirex Niigata (K) vs Nojima Stella (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.53
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
3%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
BTTS No — 59% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
61%
-12.3pp
30%
Draw
23%
+6.4pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.9pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Albirex Niigata (K) v Nojima Stella (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Albirex Niigata (K) EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Nojima Stella (K) EU Bookmakers 20%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
2.51/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/2.02
+34% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +92% / -25%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 0.7

Albirex Niigata (K) vs Nojima Stella (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Albirex Niigata (K)
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Nojima Stella (K)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
30.11.2024 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) 0-2 HT 0-0 Albirex Niigata (K) Albirex Niigata (K) JWEL
30.03.2024 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Albirex Niigata (K) Albirex Niigata (K) JWEL
POST-MATCH Albirex Niigata (K) vs Nojima Stella (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albirex Niigata (K) nicked a narrow win over Nojima Stella (K) 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Albirex Niigata (K) as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (59%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Albirex Niigata (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Albirex Niigata (K) and 0.00 for Nojima Stella (K).

What was the final score of Albirex Niigata (K) vs Nojima Stella (K)?

Albirex Niigata (K) 1-0 Nojima Stella (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Albirex Niigata (K) vs Nojima Stella (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Albirex Niigata (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Albirex Niigata (K) 48%, draw 30%, Nojima Stella (K) 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Albirex Niigata (K)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Albirex Niigata (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JWEL More Japan - WE League Women's
30 Mar 2025
07:30 Omiya Ardija (K) vs Mynavi Sendai (K) Analysis →
08:00 INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) vs Urawa Red (K) Analysis →