Shabab Al Sahel 1-8 Al Ahed — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 30 Mar 2025

Shabab Al Sahel
1-8 HT 1-2
Al Ahed
📅30/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Lebanon - Premier League – 2024/2025

Shabab Al Sahel vs Al Ahed Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.34
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
55%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
5%
X/2
33%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
16%
+3.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
55%
Away Win
60%
-4.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.3pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Shabab Al Sahel v Al Ahed — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shabab Al Sahel EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahed EU Bookmakers 64%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.35/0.65
-100% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +87% / +23%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
225 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 453 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Shabab Al Sahel vs Al Ahed
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahed ran out comfortable winners over Shabab Al Sahel 8-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Ahed as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 8-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Shabab Al Sahel vs Al Ahed?

Shabab Al Sahel 1-8 Al Ahed in the Lebanon - Premier League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shabab Al Sahel vs Al Ahed?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahed win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Shabab Al Sahel 19%, draw 26%, Al Ahed 55%. The final score 1-8 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahed) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahed) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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