Samorin 1-0 Malzenice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia - 2nd Division, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.6pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.5pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.4pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samorin EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Malzenice EU Bookmakers 32%
-11% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.37/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/0.99
-15% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +42%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samorin
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Malzenice
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.09.2024 Malzenice Malzenice 2-1 HT 0-0 Samorin Samorin SLVK2
05.11.2023 Malzenice Malzenice 4-0 HT 4-0 Samorin Samorin SLVK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samorin
1-0
AWAY Malzenice
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Samorin vs Malzenice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Samorin nicked a narrow win over Malzenice 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Samorin as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Samorin had 53% of the ball to Malzenice's 47%, shots finished 7-17.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Malzenice led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Samorin and 3.00 for Malzenice.

What was the final score of Samorin vs Malzenice?

Samorin 1-0 Malzenice in the Slovakia - 2nd Division on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samorin vs Malzenice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Samorin win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Samorin 41%, draw 26%, Malzenice 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Samorin), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Samorin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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