Triglav 3-2 ND Slovan Ljubljana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.53
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
27%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
61%
-14.5pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.7pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.3pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Triglav EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY ND Slovan Ljubljana EU Bookmakers 21%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.09/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.35
+20% / +80% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
425 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Triglav
0W-1D-0L
AWAY ND Slovan Ljubljana
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
15.09.2024 ND Slovan Ljubljana ND Slovan Ljubljana 1-1 HT 1-0 Triglav Triglav SLVN2
POST-MATCH Triglav vs ND Slovan Ljubljana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Triglav nicked a narrow win over ND Slovan Ljubljana 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Triglav as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Triglav vs ND Slovan Ljubljana?

Triglav 3-2 ND Slovan Ljubljana in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Triglav vs ND Slovan Ljubljana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Triglav win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Triglav 47%, draw 26%, ND Slovan Ljubljana 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Triglav), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Triglav) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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