Municipal Limeno 1-1 Hércules — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 30 Mar 2026

📅30/03/2026 · 🕒00:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
10%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
22%
X/2
3%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
66%
-0.5pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.4pp
10%
Away Win
14%
-4.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.5pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal Limeno EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Hércules EU Bookmakers 17%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
2.00/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/2.95
+12% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -49%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
413 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal Limeno
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Hércules
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
02.02.2026 Hércules Hércules 1-1 HT 0-1 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
07.10.2025 Hércules Hércules 0-1 HT 0-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
03.08.2025 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 5-2 HT 1-0 Hércules Hércules ELSAL
POST-MATCH Municipal Limeno vs Hércules
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal Limeno and Hércules shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Municipal Limeno carried 66% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Municipal Limeno had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Municipal Limeno and 1.00 for Hércules.

What was the final score of Municipal Limeno vs Hércules?

Municipal Limeno 1-1 Hércules in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 30/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal Limeno vs Hércules?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal Limeno win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Municipal Limeno 66%, draw 24%, Hércules 10%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Municipal Limeno), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Municipal Limeno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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