Swansea City U21 2-3 Barnsley U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 30 Mar 2026

📅30/03/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.66
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
19%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.35
No
43%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
56%
-1.0pp
26%
Draw
20%
+5.9pp
19%
Away Win
24%
-5.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
70%
-13.0pp
43%
BTTS No
30%
+13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swansea City U21 EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Barnsley U21 EU Bookmakers 28%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +10%
2.00/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.24
-8% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +63%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
374 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swansea City U21
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Barnsley U21
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
26.08.2024 Swansea City U21 Swansea City U21 0-0 HT 0-0 Barnsley U21 Barnsley U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH Swansea City U21 vs Barnsley U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barnsley U21 nicked a narrow win over Swansea City U21 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Swansea City U21 at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

What was the final score of Swansea City U21 vs Barnsley U21?

Swansea City U21 2-3 Barnsley U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 30/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swansea City U21 vs Barnsley U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Swansea City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Swansea City U21 55%, draw 26%, Barnsley U21 19%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Swansea City U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Swansea City U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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INGPDL More England - Professional Development League
30 Mar 2026
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