Fransa U21 2-1 İzlanda U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 30 Mar 2026

📅30/03/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
75%
1.22
Draw
18%
5.71
Away
7%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.96
Over 2.5
60%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.85
No
42%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.28
2-3 Goals
42%
2.08
4-5 Goals
24%
2.37
6+ Goals
13%
4.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
3%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
2%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
75%
Home Win
77%
-2.0pp
17%
Draw
14%
+3.0pp
7%
Away Win
8%
-1.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+10.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-10.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
50%
+7.8pp
42%
BTTS No
50%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fransa U21 EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY İzlanda U21 EU Bookmakers 11%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +7%
2.86/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.46/3.04
+8% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +70%
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
451 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 72%
35.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.0
18.5 Crosses 8.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fransa U21
3W-1D-1L
AWAY İzlanda U21
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
1.44 xG 0.40
67% Ball Possession 33%
18 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
648 Passes 174
90% Pass Accuracy 73%
30 Box Touches 8
20 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
31.03.2021 İzlanda U21 İzlanda U21 0-2 HT 0-2 Fransa U21 Fransa U21 U21
06.09.2016 Fransa U21 Fransa U21 2-0 HT 1-0 İzlanda U21 İzlanda U21 U21
05.09.2015 İzlanda U21 İzlanda U21 3-2 HT 1-1 Fransa U21 Fransa U21 U21
08.09.2014 Fransa U21 Fransa U21 1-1 HT 0-0 İzlanda U21 İzlanda U21 U21
14.10.2013 İzlanda U21 İzlanda U21 3-4 HT 1-1 Fransa U21 Fransa U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fransa U21
2-1
AWAY İzlanda U21
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Fransa U21 vs İzlanda U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fransa U21 nicked a narrow win over İzlanda U21 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fransa U21 as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Fransa U21 had 58% of the ball to İzlanda U21's 42%, shots finished 10-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Fransa U21 had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Fransa U21 and 1.40 for İzlanda U21.

What was the final score of Fransa U21 vs İzlanda U21?

Fransa U21 2-1 İzlanda U21 in the European U21 on 30/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fransa U21 vs İzlanda U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fransa U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Fransa U21 75%, draw 17%, İzlanda U21 7%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fransa U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fransa U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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