Coventry 1-2 Ipswich Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 30 Apr 2024

📅30/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.69
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
47%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.38
Over 2.5
59%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.86
2-3 Goals
37%
1.94
4-5 Goals
29%
2.8
6+ Goals
13%
7.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.83
1/2
7%
22.7
1/X EV+ ✗
10%
12.9
X/1
11%
7.32
X/2
17%
4.84
X/X
6%
5.32
2/1
5%
31.5
2/2
23%
2.7
2/X
8%
12.6
Value flag · 1/X at 12.9 — our 10% vs market 4.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
24%
+6.3pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.5pp
47%
Away Win
53%
-6.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
38%
+3.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
62%
-3.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.8pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coventry EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Ipswich Town EU Bookmakers 57%
+15% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.36/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.14
+35% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +14%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
255 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 80%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.4
14.5 Crosses 17.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coventry
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Ipswich Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.30 xG 1.41
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
308 Passes 412
69% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.12.2023 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 2-1 HT 2-0 Coventry Coventry İNCL
07.03.2020 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Coventry Coventry İN1
10.12.2019 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 1-2 HT 0-2 Coventry Coventry FAK
07.12.2019 Coventry Coventry 1-1 HT 0-1 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İN1
01.12.2019 Coventry Coventry 1-1 HT 0-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town FAK
04.02.2012 Coventry Coventry 2-3 HT 2-1 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coventry
1-2
AWAY Ipswich Town
1.04 xG 1.50
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 6
493 Passes 280
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 26
23 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Coventry vs Ipswich Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ipswich Town squeezed past Coventry 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ipswich Town as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Coventry had 62% of the ball to Ipswich Town's 38%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 1.04 to 1.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Coventry and 1.33 for Ipswich Town.

What was the final score of Coventry vs Ipswich Town?

Coventry 1-2 Ipswich Town in the England - Championship on 30/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coventry vs Ipswich Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ipswich Town win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Coventry 30%, draw 23%, Ipswich Town 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ipswich Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ipswich Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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