Macclesfield 3-1 Worksop Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 30 Apr 2024

📅30/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
38%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.53
No
52%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
47%
-7.8pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.4pp
38%
Away Win
30%
+8.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
61%
-13.3pp
52%
BTTS No
39%
+13.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Macclesfield EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Worksop Town EU Bookmakers 33%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.69/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.98
+3% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Macclesfield
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Worksop Town
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
16.03.2024 Worksop Town Worksop Town 1-0 Macclesfield Macclesfield İNGNLP
24.10.2023 Macclesfield Macclesfield 1-2 HT 1-0 Worksop Town Worksop Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Macclesfield
3-1
AWAY Worksop Town
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Macclesfield vs Worksop Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Macclesfield beat Worksop Town 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 23% / 38%) promised a tight game; Macclesfield found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Macclesfield had 47% of the ball to Worksop Town's 53%, shots finished 12-13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Worksop Town led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Macclesfield and 1.50 for Worksop Town.

What was the final score of Macclesfield vs Worksop Town?

Macclesfield 3-1 Worksop Town in the England - Non League Premier on 30/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Macclesfield vs Worksop Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Macclesfield win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Macclesfield 39%, draw 23%, Worksop Town 38%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Macclesfield), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Macclesfield) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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