Audax Italiano 0-1 Cobresal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 30 Apr 2024

📅30/04/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.07
Over 2.5
45%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.66
No
56%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-4.6pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+11.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-11.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-12.1pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Audax Italiano EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Cobresal EU Bookmakers 27%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.11/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.49
-19% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 74%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
22.0 Crosses 14.6
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Audax Italiano
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Cobresal
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.19 xG 0.99
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
272 Passes 410
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2023 Cobresal Cobresal 3-4 HT 1-2 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
30.04.2023 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 1-0 HT 0-0 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİL
08.09.2022 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 2-2 HT 0-2 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİL
10.04.2022 Cobresal Cobresal 0-1 HT 0-1 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
04.10.2021 Cobresal Cobresal 1-2 HT 1-2 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
10.05.2021 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 0-0 HT 0-0 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Audax Italiano
0-1
AWAY Cobresal
1.60 xG 1.09
69% Ball Possession 31%
23 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 5
13 Corners 1
465 Passes 171
86% Pass Accuracy 65%
35 Box Touches 4
42 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Audax Italiano vs Cobresal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cobresal squeezed past Audax Italiano 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Audax Italiano at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Audax Italiano had 69% of the ball to Cobresal's 31%, shots finished 23-6, expected goals 1.60 to 1.09 — on chances, Audax Italiano could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Audax Italiano had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Audax Italiano and 1.00 for Cobresal.

What was the final score of Audax Italiano vs Cobresal?

Audax Italiano 0-1 Cobresal in the Chile - Premier League on 30/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Audax Italiano vs Cobresal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Audax Italiano win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Audax Italiano 47%, draw 25%, Cobresal 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Audax Italiano) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Audax Italiano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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