Würzburger Kickers 3-0 Bayreuth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 30 Apr 2024

📅30/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
17%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
66%
-7.1pp
24%
Draw
19%
+4.5pp
17%
Away Win
14%
+2.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.5pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Würzburger Kickers EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayreuth EU Bookmakers 17%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.95/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/2.30
+37% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -11%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
337 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 17.0
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Würzburger Kickers
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Bayreuth
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 2
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
14.10.2023 Bayreuth Bayreuth 1-2 HT 1-1 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers ALMBÖL
01.07.2017 Bayreuth Bayreuth 1-3 HT 0-2 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers HAZ
24.10.2014 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers 4-1 HT 1-1 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Würzburger Kickers vs Bayreuth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Würzburger Kickers cruised past Bayreuth 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Würzburger Kickers as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Würzburger Kickers had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Würzburger Kickers and 1.00 for Bayreuth.

What was the final score of Würzburger Kickers vs Bayreuth?

Würzburger Kickers 3-0 Bayreuth in the Germany - Regional League on 30/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Würzburger Kickers vs Bayreuth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Würzburger Kickers win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Würzburger Kickers 59%, draw 24%, Bayreuth 17%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Würzburger Kickers), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Würzburger Kickers) ✓ Over 2.5
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ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
30 Apr 2024
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