Maitland 0-5 Lambton Jaffas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 30 Apr 2024

📅30/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.75
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
40%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.51
Over 2.5
56%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
23%
+11.6pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.3pp
40%
Away Win
54%
-14.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.8pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maitland EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Lambton Jaffas EU Bookmakers 58%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
2.00/2.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.54/0.72
+45% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +65%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
288 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maitland
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Lambton Jaffas
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.05.2023 Maitland Maitland 3-0 Lambton Jaffas Lambton Jaffas AVNPL
26.04.2023 Lambton Jaffas Lambton Jaffas 1-2 Maitland Maitland AVNPL
02.10.2022 Maitland Maitland 0-1 HT 0-0 Lambton Jaffas Lambton Jaffas AVNSW
04.09.2022 Lambton Jaffas Lambton Jaffas 1-3 HT 0-2 Maitland Maitland AVNPL
29.06.2022 Maitland Maitland 1-3 Lambton Jaffas Lambton Jaffas AVNPL
29.05.2021 Lambton Jaffas Lambton Jaffas 2-1 HT 1-1 Maitland Maitland AVNPL
POST-MATCH Maitland vs Lambton Jaffas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lambton Jaffas cruised past Maitland 5-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 40%) promised a tight game; Lambton Jaffas found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Maitland and 1.33 for Lambton Jaffas.

What was the final score of Maitland vs Lambton Jaffas?

Maitland 0-5 Lambton Jaffas in the Australia - National Premier League on 30/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maitland vs Lambton Jaffas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lambton Jaffas win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Maitland 35%, draw 26%, Lambton Jaffas 40%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lambton Jaffas), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lambton Jaffas) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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