Suwon City 0-2 FC Seoul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 30 Apr 2024

📅30/04/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.6
No
56%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.94
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.15
6+ Goals
8%
10.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.94 — our 30% vs market 20.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✗
26%
3.6
1/2
5%
27.0
1/X
5%
12.3
X/1
10%
5.75
X/2
14%
5.79
X/X
13%
4.86
2/1
5%
27.0
2/2
15%
3.64
2/X
7%
12.3
Value flag · 1/1 at 3.6 — our 26% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+4.1pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.6pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
58%
-14.2pp
56%
BTTS No
42%
+14.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suwon City EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Seoul EU Bookmakers 40%
+5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -17%
1.35/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.25
+37% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +2%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
293 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 81%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
16.6 Crosses 16.7
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suwon City
0W-2D-4L
AWAY FC Seoul
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
1.06 xG 1.81
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
346 Passes 436
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2023 Suwon City Suwon City 3-4 HT 1-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
30.09.2023 Suwon City Suwon City 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
12.07.2023 FC Seoul FC Seoul 7-2 HT 3-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOR
29.04.2023 Suwon City Suwon City 0-3 HT 0-1 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
22.10.2022 Suwon City Suwon City 0-2 HT 0-1 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
10.09.2022 FC Seoul FC Seoul 2-2 HT 2-1 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suwon City
0-2
AWAY FC Seoul
64% Ball Possession 36%
10 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 0
584 Passes 366
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Suwon City vs FC Seoul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Seoul saw off Suwon City 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Suwon City at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Suwon City had 64% of the ball to FC Seoul's 36%, shots finished 10-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Seoul led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Suwon City and 3.17 for FC Seoul.

What was the final score of Suwon City vs FC Seoul?

Suwon City 0-2 FC Seoul in the South Kore - K League Classic on 30/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suwon City vs FC Seoul?

Before kick-off our model rated a Suwon City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Suwon City 41%, draw 25%, FC Seoul 34%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Suwon City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Suwon City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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