Shams Azar Qazvin 2-1 Paykan Qazvin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 30 Apr 2024

📅30/04/2024 · 🕒17:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.3
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
5.31
6+ Goals
8%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-0.9pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.7pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.1pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shams Azar Qazvin EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Paykan Qazvin EU Bookmakers 29%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +4%
0.74/0.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.02
-37% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
286 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shams Azar Qazvin
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Paykan Qazvin
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
10.11.2023 Paykan Qazvin Paykan Qazvin 1-1 HT 1-0 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin IRAN
POST-MATCH Shams Azar Qazvin vs Paykan Qazvin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shams Azar Qazvin edged past Paykan Qazvin 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Shams Azar Qazvin as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Shams Azar Qazvin vs Paykan Qazvin?

Shams Azar Qazvin 2-1 Paykan Qazvin in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 30/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shams Azar Qazvin vs Paykan Qazvin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shams Azar Qazvin win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Shams Azar Qazvin 44%, draw 29%, Paykan Qazvin 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shams Azar Qazvin) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shams Azar Qazvin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →