Cesar Vallejo 2-1 Sporting Cristal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 30 Apr 2024

📅30/04/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.29
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
43%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+6.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
43%
Away Win
47%
-3.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.6pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cesar Vallejo EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Cristal EU Bookmakers 50%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +18%
0.94/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.16
-19% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
262 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
14.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
12.5 Crosses 17.9
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cesar Vallejo
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Sporting Cristal
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.18 xG 1.32
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 11
211 Passes 316
70% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 25
9 Crosses 29
4 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2023 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo 0-1 HT 0-1 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
28.04.2023 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 1-1 HT 0-0 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo PER
28.08.2022 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 0-0 HT 0-0 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo PER
09.04.2022 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo 2-0 HT 1-0 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
14.08.2021 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 0-1 HT 0-1 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo PER
22.05.2021 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo 3-0 HT 1-0 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cesar Vallejo
2-1
AWAY Sporting Cristal
1.11 xG 1.92
36% Ball Possession 64%
17 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 14
174 Passes 339
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 36
5 Crosses 42
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cesar Vallejo vs Sporting Cristal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cesar Vallejo edged past Sporting Cristal 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting Cristal at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Cesar Vallejo had 36% of the ball to Sporting Cristal's 64%, shots finished 17-19, expected goals 1.11 to 1.92 — on chances, Sporting Cristal could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cesar Vallejo had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cesar Vallejo and 0.33 for Sporting Cristal.

What was the final score of Cesar Vallejo vs Sporting Cristal?

Cesar Vallejo 2-1 Sporting Cristal in the Peru - Premier League on 30/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cesar Vallejo vs Sporting Cristal?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Cristal win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Cesar Vallejo 33%, draw 24%, Sporting Cristal 43%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sporting Cristal) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Cristal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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