FK Rodina Moskva 1-1 Tyumen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 30 Apr 2024

📅30/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.57
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
59%
-2.1pp
20%
Draw
23%
-2.7pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+4.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.1pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Rodina Moskva EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Tyumen EU Bookmakers 21%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
2.13/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.35
+28% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
415 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Rodina Moskva
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Tyumen
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
18.09.2023 Tyumen Tyumen 2-2 HT 0-0 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Rodina Moskva
1-1
AWAY Tyumen
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FK Rodina Moskva vs Tyumen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Rodina Moskva and Tyumen shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. FK Rodina Moskva carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FK Rodina Moskva had 62% of the ball to Tyumen's 38%, shots finished 19-9.

What was the final score of FK Rodina Moskva vs Tyumen?

FK Rodina Moskva 1-1 Tyumen in the Russia - FNL on 30/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Rodina Moskva vs Tyumen?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Rodina Moskva win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split FK Rodina Moskva 57%, draw 20%, Tyumen 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FK Rodina Moskva), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Rodina Moskva) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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