Barcelona 3-3 Inter — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 30 Apr 2025

📅30/04/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.29
Over
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
23%
4.61
2-3
37%
1.92
4-5
27%
2.8
6+
13%
7.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.19
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.7
X/1
15%
4.55
X/2
10%
9.55
X/X
12%
6.08
2/1
9%
20.4
2/2
9%
6.81
2/X
7%
14.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
49%
Home Win
54%
-5.4pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.2pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.7pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barcelona The Market 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter The Market 26%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.06/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.72
+26% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
442 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 81%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
12.5 Crosses 13.9
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barcelona
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Inter
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.58 xG 1.16
66% Ball Possession 34%
19 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
617 Passes 278
89% Pass Accuracy 78%
31 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.10.2022 Barcelona Barcelona 3-3 HT 1-0 Inter Inter ŞMP
04.10.2022 Inter Inter 1-0 HT 1-0 Barcelona Barcelona ŞMP
10.12.2019 Inter Inter 1-2 HT 1-1 Barcelona Barcelona ŞMP
02.10.2019 Barcelona Barcelona 2-1 HT 0-1 Inter Inter ŞMP
06.11.2018 Inter Inter 1-1 HT 0-0 Barcelona Barcelona ŞMP
24.10.2018 Barcelona Barcelona 2-0 HT 1-0 Inter Inter ŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barcelona
3-3
AWAY Inter
1.36 xG 0.84
71% Ball Possession 29%
19 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
622 Passes 204
91% Pass Accuracy 75%
37 Box Touches 15
28 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Barcelona vs Inter
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona and Inter shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Barcelona at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Barcelona had 71% of the ball to Inter's 29%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 1.36 to 0.84.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barcelona had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Barcelona and 1.17 for Inter.

What was the final score of Barcelona vs Inter?

Barcelona 3-3 Inter in the Champions League on 30/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barcelona vs Inter?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Barcelona 49%, draw 26%, Inter 25%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Barcelona) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barcelona) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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