Sierra Leone U20 4-1 Mısır U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika U20 Uluslar Cup, 30 Apr 2025

📅30/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.48
Draw
34%
3.54
Away
43%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.54
Over 2.5
34%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.33
No
57%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
22%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
19%
+3.3pp
34%
Draw
25%
+8.6pp
44%
Away Win
55%
-11.8pp
66%
Under 2.5
61%
+5.2pp
34%
Over 2.5
39%
-5.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
39%
+3.9pp
57%
BTTS No
61%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sierra Leone U20 EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Mısır U20 EU Bookmakers 59%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
204 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 424 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sierra Leone U20
4-1
AWAY Mısır U20
2.47 xG 1.31
51% Ball Possession 49%
26 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
280 Passes 315
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 13
POST-MATCH Sierra Leone U20 vs Mısır U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sierra Leone U20 ran out comfortable winners over Mısır U20 4-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Mısır U20 at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sierra Leone U20 had 51% of the ball to Mısır U20's 49%, shots finished 26-15, expected goals 2.47 to 1.31.

What was the final score of Sierra Leone U20 vs Mısır U20?

Sierra Leone U20 4-1 Mısır U20 in the Afrika U20 Uluslar Cup on 30/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sierra Leone U20 vs Mısır U20?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mısır U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sierra Leone U20 23%, draw 34%, Mısır U20 44%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mısır U20) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
CAFU20 More Afrika U20 Uluslar Cup
30 Apr 2025
18:00 G. Afrika U20 vs Tanzanya U20 Analysis →