Neptüna Klaipeda 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - Cup, 30 Apr 2025

📅30/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.34
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
52%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.78
Over
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
40%
4-5
25%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
34%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
20%
Home Win
16%
+4.3pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.2pp
52%
Away Win
60%
-8.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.6pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neptüna Klaipeda The Market 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris The Market 64%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
220 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Neptüna Klaipeda vs Kauno Zalgiris
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris edged past Neptüna Klaipeda 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kauno Zalgiris as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Neptüna Klaipeda vs Kauno Zalgiris?

Neptüna Klaipeda 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris in the Lithuania - Cup on 30/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neptüna Klaipeda vs Kauno Zalgiris?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Neptüna Klaipeda 20%, draw 28%, Kauno Zalgiris 52%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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