Belediye Kütahyaspor 2-1 Düzcespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division Yükselme Playoff, 30 Apr 2025

📅30/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.81
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.83
6+ Goals
10%
17.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.81 — our 31% vs market 28.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-1.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.7pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Belediye Kütahyaspor EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Düzcespor EU Bookmakers 37%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+80% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
301 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Belediye Kütahyaspor
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Düzcespor
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2025 Düzcespor Düzcespor 2-2 HT 0-2 Belediye Kütahyaspor Belediye Kütahyaspor S3-1
15.12.2024 Belediye Kütahyaspor Belediye Kütahyaspor 4-1 HT 2-1 Düzcespor Düzcespor S3-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Belediye Kütahyaspor
2-1
AWAY Düzcespor
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Belediye Kütahyaspor vs Düzcespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Belediye Kütahyaspor edged past Düzcespor 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Belediye Kütahyaspor made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Belediye Kütahyaspor had 51% of the ball to Düzcespor's 49%, shots finished 8-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Belediye Kütahyaspor had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Belediye Kütahyaspor and 1.50 for Düzcespor.

What was the final score of Belediye Kütahyaspor vs Düzcespor?

Belediye Kütahyaspor 2-1 Düzcespor in the Turkey - 3rd Division Yükselme Playoff on 30/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Belediye Kütahyaspor vs Düzcespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Belediye Kütahyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Belediye Kütahyaspor 38%, draw 27%, Düzcespor 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Belediye Kütahyaspor), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Belediye Kütahyaspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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