Al Najma 1-2 Al Bukayriyah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 30 Apr 2025

📅30/04/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.67
Over 2.5
36%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.88
No
60%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-3.0pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.3pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.8pp
64%
Under 2.5
56%
+7.8pp
36%
Over 2.5
44%
-7.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.7pp
60%
BTTS No
51%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Najma EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Bukayriyah EU Bookmakers 39%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -6%
1.64/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/0.87
+50% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +24%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
310 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Najma
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Bukayriyah
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.12.2024 Al Bukayriyah Al Bukayriyah 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Najma Al Najma SUUD1
27.03.2024 Al Najma Al Najma 3-1 HT 1-0 Al Bukayriyah Al Bukayriyah SUUD1
06.11.2023 Al Bukayriyah Al Bukayriyah 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Najma Al Najma SUUD1
POST-MATCH Al Najma vs Al Bukayriyah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Bukayriyah squeezed past Al Najma 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 37%) promised a tight game; Al Bukayriyah found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Najma and 1.33 for Al Bukayriyah.

What was the final score of Al Najma vs Al Bukayriyah?

Al Najma 1-2 Al Bukayriyah in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 30/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Najma vs Al Bukayriyah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Bukayriyah win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Al Najma 33%, draw 30%, Al Bukayriyah 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Bukayriyah) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Bukayriyah) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SUUD1 More Saudi Arabia - 1st Division
30 Apr 2025
18:50 Al Jubail vs Al-Jandal Analysis →
19:10 Al Zulfi vs Al Safa Analysis →