Kairouan 0-1 Etoile Du Sahel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - Cup, 30 Apr 2025

📅30/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.04
Draw
42%
3.11
Away
33%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
Over
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
35%
4-5
22%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
22%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Draw — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
25%
Home Win
22%
+2.9pp
42%
Draw
29%
+13.2pp
33%
Away Win
49%
-16.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kairouan The Market 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Etoile Du Sahel The Market 53%
-36% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
267 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kairouan
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Etoile Du Sahel
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
27.01.2021 Kairouan Kairouan 1-3 HT 1-1 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN1
01.08.2020 Kairouan Kairouan 1-3 HT 0-0 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN1
02.10.2019 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 2-0 HT 1-0 Kairouan Kairouan TUN1
POST-MATCH Kairouan vs Etoile Du Sahel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Etoile Du Sahel edged past Kairouan 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was the draw at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Etoile Du Sahel led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kairouan and 2.67 for Etoile Du Sahel.

What was the final score of Kairouan vs Etoile Du Sahel?

Kairouan 0-1 Etoile Du Sahel in the Tunisia - Cup on 30/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kairouan vs Etoile Du Sahel?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kairouan 25%, draw 42%, Etoile Du Sahel 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Draw), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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