Jedinstvo Ub 1-2 Kızılyıldız — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Cup, 30 Apr 2026

📅30/04/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
8%
12.23
Draw
16%
8.78
Away
76%
1.06
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
9%
1/X
3%
X/1
3%
X/2
17%
X/X
5%
2/1
2%
2/2
50%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
8%
Home Win
5%
+3.7pp
16%
Draw
8%
+8.0pp
76%
Away Win
88%
-11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jedinstvo Ub EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Kızılyıldız EU Bookmakers 94%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.29/0.17
-100% / +113% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +79% / +150%
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
254 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 536 · 88%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jedinstvo Ub
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Kızılyıldız
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
0.46 xG 3.79
32% Ball Possession 68%
8 Total Shots 24
1 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
210 Passes 533
73% Pass Accuracy 90%
10 Box Touches 44
10 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 0
18.12.2024 Jedinstvo Ub Jedinstvo Ub 0-4 HT 0-1 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
20.07.2024 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 4-0 HT 2-0 Jedinstvo Ub Jedinstvo Ub SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jedinstvo Ub
1-2
AWAY Kızılyıldız
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 21
1 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Jedinstvo Ub vs Kızılyıldız
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kızılyıldız nicked a narrow win over Jedinstvo Ub 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kızılyıldız as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%) came in.

On the day, Jedinstvo Ub had 35% of the ball to Kızılyıldız's 65%, shots finished 6-21.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kızılyıldız led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Jedinstvo Ub and 4.00 for Kızılyıldız.

What was the final score of Jedinstvo Ub vs Kızılyıldız?

Jedinstvo Ub 1-2 Kızılyıldız in the Serbia - Cup on 30/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jedinstvo Ub vs Kızılyıldız?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kızılyıldız win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Jedinstvo Ub 8%, draw 16%, Kızılyıldız 76%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kızılyıldız), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kızılyıldız) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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