IK Gauthiod 3-2 Grebbestads IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 30 May 2024

📅30/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.39
No
40%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
31%
-0.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.7pp
43%
Away Win
46%
-2.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
68%
-7.8pp
40%
BTTS No
32%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Gauthiod EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Grebbestads IF EU Bookmakers 49%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.41/2.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/1.84
-8% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
284 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IK Gauthiod
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Grebbestads IF
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
8 Corners 5
25.08.2023 IK Gauthiod IK Gauthiod 2-1 HT 1-0 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF İSÇ4
28.04.2023 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF 2-1 HT 1-1 IK Gauthiod IK Gauthiod İSÇ4
03.04.2022 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF 2-1 HT 0-1 IK Gauthiod IK Gauthiod İSÇ4
02.10.2021 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF 2-4 HT 0-0 IK Gauthiod IK Gauthiod İSÇ4
27.06.2021 IK Gauthiod IK Gauthiod 3-1 HT 2-1 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF İSÇ4
17.10.2020 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF 1-1 HT 0-0 IK Gauthiod IK Gauthiod İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IK Gauthiod
3-2
AWAY Grebbestads IF
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH IK Gauthiod vs Grebbestads IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IK Gauthiod nicked a narrow win over Grebbestads IF 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Grebbestads IF at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, IK Gauthiod had 46% of the ball to Grebbestads IF's 54%, shots finished 12-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, IK Gauthiod had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for IK Gauthiod and 1.50 for Grebbestads IF.

What was the final score of IK Gauthiod vs Grebbestads IF?

IK Gauthiod 3-2 Grebbestads IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 30/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Gauthiod vs Grebbestads IF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Grebbestads IF win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split IK Gauthiod 30%, draw 26%, Grebbestads IF 43%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Grebbestads IF) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Grebbestads IF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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