Santa Cruz 2-3 Gualberto Villarroel SJ — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 30 May 2024

📅30/05/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
1.95
Over
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
42%
4-5
20%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.3pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.5pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.4pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Cruz The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Gualberto Villarroel SJ The Market 37%
+12% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+4% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
268 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
16.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.7 Crosses
3.6 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Cruz
2-3
AWAY Gualberto Villarroel SJ
1.06 xG 1.04
47% Ball Possession 53%
21 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
180 Passes 240
66% Pass Accuracy 72%
30 Box Touches 16
30 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Santa Cruz vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gualberto Villarroel SJ edged past Santa Cruz 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Gualberto Villarroel SJ made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Santa Cruz had 47% of the ball to Gualberto Villarroel SJ's 53%, shots finished 21-10, expected goals 1.06 to 1.04.

What was the final score of Santa Cruz vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ?

Santa Cruz 2-3 Gualberto Villarroel SJ in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 30/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Cruz vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Cruz win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Santa Cruz 37%, draw 30%, Gualberto Villarroel SJ 33%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Santa Cruz), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Santa Cruz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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