KuPS Ak. 5-1 Vaajakoski — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 30 May 2024

KuPS Ak.
5-1 HT 3-1
Vaajakoski
📅30/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Finland - Ykkönen – 2024

KuPS Ak. vs Vaajakoski Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
15%
3.94
Away
46%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.15
Over 2.5
63%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.61
No
39%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.99
2-3 Goals
31%
1.84
4-5 Goals
27%
3.11
6+ Goals
21%
10.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
3%
2/2
27%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-5.8pp
15%
Draw
22%
-7.5pp
46%
Away Win
33%
+13.3pp
37%
Under 2.5
43%
-5.9pp
63%
Over 2.5
57%
+5.9pp
61%
BTTS Yes
58%
+2.6pp
39%
BTTS No
42%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

KuPS Ak. v Vaajakoski — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KuPS Ak. EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Vaajakoski EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
233 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

KuPS Ak. 5-1 Vaajakoski — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KuPS Ak.
5-1
AWAY Vaajakoski
41% Ball Possession 59%
16 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 8
POST-MATCH KuPS Ak. vs Vaajakoski
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KuPS Ak. cruised past Vaajakoski 5-1. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Vaajakoski at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, KuPS Ak. had 41% of the ball to Vaajakoski's 59%, shots finished 16-7.

What was the final score of KuPS Ak. vs Vaajakoski?

KuPS Ak. 5-1 Vaajakoski in the Finland - Ykkönen on 30/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KuPS Ak. vs Vaajakoski?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vaajakoski win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split KuPS Ak. 39%, draw 15%, Vaajakoski 46%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vaajakoski) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vaajakoski) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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